---
title: "Bitcoin CAGR Dashboard"
author: "True North"
author_url: "https://tnorth.com/about/"
publisher: "True North"
publisher_url: "https://tnorth.com"
canonical_url: "https://tnorth.com/tools/btc-cagr/"
markdown_url: "https://tnorth.com/tools/btc-cagr.md"
date_updated: "2026-09-28"
rendered_at: "2026-09-29T18:38:42.763Z"
section: "tools"
source: ["https://tnorth.com/data/btc-daily.json", "https://tnorth.com/data/btc-benchmarks.json", "https://tnorth.com/data/btc-supply.json", "https://tnorth.com/tools/btc-cagr/"]
data_version: "asof=2026-09-28;days=5907;dataset=81fcb519"
model_version: "2026-09-19.1"
word_count: 1056
reading_time_minutes: 5
license: "© 2026 True North. Cite with attribution and a link to the canonical URL. Not investment advice."
disclosure: "True North is operated by Strive, Inc. Independent contributor content published under https://tnorth.com/legal/independent-discussion/."
---

# Bitcoin CAGR Dashboard

> **TL;DR.** Bitcoin CAGR dashboard tables rendered from the daily close series: 17 calendar years of annual returns against Gold (GLD), the S&P 500 and TLT, rolling CAGR percentiles by holding horizon, risk-adjusted metrics since July 18, 2010, and price and market-cap level histories. BTC close as of September 28, 2026 ($83,457).
> True North (https://tnorth.com/tools/btc-cagr/)

BTC close as of September 28, 2026 ($83,457); daily series since July 18, 2010. Percentages are total or annualized returns; a value of n/a means the series does not cover that cell.

## Annual returns (17 calendar years)

Annual return by calendar year: Bitcoin vs Gold (GLD), S&P 500 and TLT, with trailing CAGR roll-ups. BTC close as of September 28, 2026.

| Year | Bitcoin | Gold (GLD) | S&P 500 | TLT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 (partial) | +249.5% | +17.3% | +14.7% | -6.2% |
| 2011 | +1471.4% | +10.1% | -1.1% | +29.8% |
| 2012 | +155.8% | +3.9% | +11.7% | +1.5% |
| 2013 | +5372.5% | -28.8% | +26.4% | -14.8% |
| 2014 | -57.7% | -3.7% | +12.4% | +23.2% |
| 2015 | +32.7% | -11.1% | -0.7% | -5.3% |
| 2016 | +124.2% | +6.5% | +11.2% | -1.9% |
| 2017 | +1308.9% | +11.9% | +18.4% | +6.0% |
| 2018 | -72.4% | -3.1% | -7.0% | -3.2% |
| 2019 | +87.4% | +17.8% | +28.7% | +10.9% |
| 2020 | +301.0% | +23.9% | +15.3% | +15.1% |
| 2021 | +57.1% | -6.2% | +28.8% | -5.9% |
| 2022 | -65.4% | +0.8% | -20.0% | -31.0% |
| 2023 | +154.6% | +11.8% | +24.7% | -2.5% |
| 2024 | +111.1% | +27.0% | +24.0% | -11.2% |
| 2025 | -7.3% | +61.5% | +16.6% | -0.5% |
| 2026 (partial) | -5.9% | +11.0% | +3.7% | -9.7% |
| Trailing 3yr CAGR | +45.6% | +33.4% | +19.8% | -3.9% |
| Trailing 5yr CAGR | +15.3% | +21.6% | +11.4% | -11.4% |
| Trailing 10yr CAGR | +63.7% | +14.0% | +13.0% | -5.5% |

## Rolling CAGR percentiles (9 percentiles)

Percentiles of historical rolling CAGR outcomes by holding horizon. BTC close as of September 28, 2026.

| Percentile | 1-Year CAGR | 2-Year CAGR | 3-Year CAGR | 4-Year CAGR | 5-Year CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Observations (n) | 5,546 | 5,181 | 4,816 | 4,452 | 4,094 |
| 99.6% | +16595.1% | +1558.6% | +1353.3% | +860.9% | +432.4% |
| 95% | +2053.7% | +958.7% | +774.1% | +321.0% | +306.9% |
| 90% | +969.9% | +581.6% | +281.1% | +206.5% | +234.3% |
| 75% | +306.1% | +229.4% | +180.1% | +144.2% | +145.4% |
| 50% | +96.4% | +91.6% | +79.5% | +93.2% | +92.4% |
| 25% | -10.0% | +19.7% | +36.2% | +42.9% | +48.3% |
| 10% | -50.3% | -11.8% | +22.4% | +27.0% | +24.8% |
| 5% | -60.8% | -25.3% | +8.2% | +17.0% | +11.1% |
| 0.4% | -75.7% | -36.6% | -3.1% | +9.1% | +1.6% |

Read example: 5% of historical 4-year windows ended below +17.0% annualized. The median (50%) is the middle outcome across all start dates.

## Risk-adjusted metrics (4 assets)

Risk-adjusted metrics over the full history since July 18, 2010: annualized return, volatility, Sharpe, Sortino and maximum drawdown. BTC close as of September 28, 2026.

| Asset | Annualized return | Annualized vol | Sharpe | Sortino | Max drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | +134.5% | 90.7% | 1.47 | 2.09 | -92.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | +8.7% | 16.5% | 0.44 | 0.61 | -45.6% |
| S&P 500 | +12.6% | 17.2% | 0.65 | 0.90 | -33.9% |
| TLT | -1.5% | 15.0% | -0.20 | -0.27 | -54.2% |

## Bitcoin on this date (16 prior years)

Bitcoin close on this date in each prior year, with return and annualized return to the latest close. BTC close as of September 28, 2026.

BTC close on September 28 across each year in the dataset. Return and annualized return measured to 2026-09-28 ($83,457).

| Date | BTC close | Return to today | Annualized |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | $112,198 | -25.6% | -25.6% |
| 2024-09-28 | $65,859 | +26.7% | +12.6% |
| 2023-09-28 | $27,027 | +208.8% | +45.6% |
| 2022-09-28 | $19,400 | +330.2% | +44.0% |
| 2021-09-28 | $41,026 | +103.4% | +15.3% |
| 2020-09-28 | $10,714 | +679.0% | +40.8% |
| 2019-09-28 | $8,218 | +915.5% | +39.3% |
| 2018-09-28 | $6,620 | +1160.7% | +37.3% |
| 2017-09-28 | $4,188 | +1892.5% | +39.4% |
| 2016-09-28 | $605 | +13694.5% | +63.7% |
| 2015-09-28 | $238 | +34894.1% | +70.3% |
| 2014-09-28 | $390 | +21299.2% | +56.4% |
| 2013-09-28 | $127 | +65719.4% | +64.7% |
| 2012-09-28 | $12 | +673946.2% | +87.7% |
| 2011-09-28 | $5 | +1751935.8% | +91.8% |
| 2010-09-28 | $0 | +134816510.9% | +141.6% |

## Price level history (6 thresholds)

Price level history: first crossing, days above and below, and lifetime share above each closing-price threshold. BTC close as of September 28, 2026.

| Level | First date crossed | Days above | Days below | % above |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $30K | 2021-01-02 | 1,609 | 4,298 | 27.2% |
| $40K | 2021-01-08 | 1,360 | 4,547 | 23.0% |
| $50K | 2021-02-17 | 1,102 | 4,805 | 18.7% |
| $60K | 2021-03-13 | 934 | 4,973 | 15.8% |
| $70K | 2024-03-11 | 587 | 5,320 | 9.9% |
| $80K | 2024-11-10 | 465 | 5,442 | 7.9% |

## Market-cap level history (5 thresholds)

Market-cap level history: first crossing, days above and below, and lifetime share above each threshold. BTC close as of September 28, 2026.

| Level | First date crossed | Days above | Days below | % above |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $300.0B | 2017-12-16 | 2,148 | 3,759 | 36.4% |
| $500.0B | 2020-12-28 | 1,820 | 4,087 | 30.8% |
| $750.0B | 2021-01-08 | 1,375 | 4,532 | 23.3% |
| $1.00T | 2021-02-19 | 1,077 | 4,830 | 18.2% |
| $1.25T | 2021-11-08 | 825 | 5,082 | 14.0% |

## Sources and data version

- BTC daily close: market data feed (public/data/btc-daily.json)
- Benchmarks: public market data feed (public/data/btc-benchmarks.json)
- Circulating supply: market data feed (public/data/btc-supply.json)
- Interactive dashboard: https://tnorth.com/tools/btc-cagr/
- Static floor version: 2026-09-19.1

## About this document

Canonical HTML: https://tnorth.com/tools/btc-cagr/
Site-wide AI index: https://tnorth.com/llms.txt