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New Year, Same Business

January 8, 2025 • 2:26:01

In Episode 12, True North Episode 12: The True North crew explores 2025 market outlook, MicroStrategy’s evolving Bitcoin strategy, catalysts like S&P 500 inclusion, options trading insights, and the evolving… Key discussion points include community growth, bitcoin holdings, catalysts, leaps options, options insights. Market context: MSTR closed at $331.70 with mNAV at ~1.92.

Market Snapshot

  • Date: 1/8/25
  • MSTR Open/Close: $335.25 / $331.70
  • Volume: 18,212,600 shares
  • mNAV: ~1.92
  • Market Cap: ~$81.52B
  • U.S. Market Cap Rank: 122
  • BTC Held: 447,470

Chapters

  • 00:00:00Market sentiment: Volatility and FUD affecting MicroStrategy’s stock.
  • 00:04:22Community growth: Surging member count reflects increasing interest.
  • 00:07:23Bitcoin holdings: MicroStrategy acquires 1,700 Bitcoin, strengthening assets.
  • 00:15:29Catalysts: Market events and their potential impact on MicroStrategy stock.
  • 00:18:20LEAPS options: Historic trades linked to Bitcoin’s four-year cycles.
  • 00:21:13Options insights: Breaking down Josh Mandell’s insights.
  • 00:26:53Exercise strategies: Tips for leveraging options contracts.
  • 00:31:19Retail behavior: Common pitfalls of new investors in options trading.
  • 00:33:39Long-term potential: MicroStrategy’s bullish thesis.
  • 00:41:48Intrinsic value: Building a stronger floor for Bitcoin-per-share metrics.
  • 00:51:14Martin Shkreli: Short positions and miscalculating MicroStrategy.
  • 00:57:55Preferred stock: Flexible capital structures with strategic dividend options.
  • 01:15:49Fair value: Transitioning in accounting and its market impact.
  • 01:22:09S&P 500: Criteria for inclusion and potential effects.
  • 01:43:59Price cycles: Investor sentiment and MicroStrategy’s market swings.
  • 02:13:45California wildfires: Insurance challenges and rising premiums.
  • 02:22:23Catastrophe bonds: New insurance market opportunities with blockchain.
  • 02:24:59Future innovation: Pivoting the insurance industry toward technology.

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