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$STRDing toward BTC Fixed Income

June 4, 2025 • 2:07:22

In Episode 28, True North episode 28: In this episode the crew breaks down MSTR’s capital stack, Saylor’s latest fixed income product creations, leverage analysis, and how digital yield products could reshape… Key discussion points include $mstr leverage, capital strategy, the capital stack, risk tiers, why $strd vs $strf. Market context: MSTR closed at $378.10 with mNAV at ~1.90.

Market Snapshot

  • Date: 6/4/25
  • MSTR Open/Close: $385.80 / $378.10
  • Volume: 8,472,192 shares
  • mNAV: ~1.90
  • Market Cap: ~$105.62B
  • U.S. Market Cap Rank: 94
  • BTC Held: 580,955

Chapters

  • 00:00:00Agenda: cue the music and NFA
  • 00:03:25$MSTR leverage: BTC holdings, debt ratios, and over-collateralization
  • 00:07:07Capital strategy: Strike/Strife ATMs, growth potential, and leverage expansion
  • 00:09:30The capital stack: Structure, liquidation preference, and investment-grade terms
  • 00:15:15Risk tiers: Pyramid mechanics and creditworthiness of BTC-backed instruments
  • 00:16:50Why $STRD vs $STRF: Spread breakdown, market yields and pricing
  • 00:23:12High yield appetite: STRD as a Bitcoin-native junk bond
  • 00:28:50Institutional angles: How insurance, banks, and pensions fit $STRD in portfolios & market comps
  • 00:37:00$STRF moat: Scale, BTC trust, and sustainable yield thesis
  • 00:42:55Digital capital shift: Rethinking credit spreads, collateral risk & the power of liquidity
  • 00:46:50Bear defense: Using Stride to defend NAV and disincentivize short pressure
  • 00:52:48Bull thesis: Rising prices, credit rating catalysts and qualified dividends
  • 00:58:50Portfolio fit: STRF/STRD as yield anchors in digital-first portfolios
  • 01:01:31Collateral moat: STRF as benchmark BTC treasury product & investment grade quality analysis
  • 01:07:35Assessing legitimacy: Trust, scale, perpetual BTC yield as must-haves
  • 01:11:55Proof-of-reserves debate: Security, audit, and credibility issues unpacked
  • 01:15:19New adopters: Surge in corporate Bitcoin treasury conversions expected
  • 01:19:48Valuation clarity: Dan’s analysis of non-cumulative preferred stocks and MSTR dividend security
  • 01:24:37Community recap: BTC Conference stories, meetups, and strategy culture
  • 01:38:57Translating Bitcoin: meeting investors where they are to fuel adoption
  • 01:42:10Pre-IPO BTC Treasury investing: Overview of reverse merger & SPAC strategies
  • 01:53:00Moon math: mNAV expansion price predictions
  • 01:57:10S&P 500 inclusion: review the latest status and push for September
  • 01:58:50Final thoughts: Roundtable takeaways

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