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The Stress Test

July 1, 2026 • 59:28

The crew puts Strategy’s new capital framework through its paces — unpacking the USD reserve policy behind MSTR’s cash liquidity, what credit and equity investors each need from it, and how the credit market is evolving from high-yield ETFs to pension gaps. They dig into the new STRC dividend and buyback policies, how the market read MSTR’s Bitcoin sales, and the BTC monetization program funding reserves and dividend payments, then stress-test the balance sheet itself — leverage ratio, the Bitcoin price floor, and why clear communication around monetization carries psychological weight. The crew closes on securitized products, market leverage, and the opportunity hiding in a bear market.

Market Snapshot

As of 7/1/26:

  • Open: $87.695 | Close: $93.39
  • Volume: ~34.7M Shares
  • mNAV: ~1.09 | Market Cap: ~$34.3B
  • BTC Holdings: 847,363

In This Episode

  • 00:01:42MSTR Capital Framework Intro: New credit framework announced
  • 00:03:37USD Reserve Policy Explained: MSTR’s new cash liquidity
  • 00:06:29Liquidity & Investor Views: Credit vs. equity needs
  • 00:13:31Credit Market Evolution: High-yield ETFs, pension gaps
  • 00:19:10STRC Dividend & Buybacks: New policies, market optionality
  • 00:26:16MSTR Bitcoin Sales Impact: Market perception of holdings
  • 00:30:04BTC Monetization Program: Funding reserves, dividend payments
  • 00:35:25MSTR Balance Sheet Health: Leverage ratio, Bitcoin price floor
  • 00:46:10BTC Monetization Clarity: Market communication, psychological elements
  • 00:49:38Jeff’s Final Thoughts: Securitized products, market leverage
  • 00:54:29Sole’s Final Thoughts: Bitcoin cycle, deep value
  • 00:55:14Grain of Salt’s Final Thoughts: MSTR metrics, market outlook
  • 00:57:08Mason’s Final Thoughts: Leverage, bear market opportunity

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