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T'was the night before earnings

April 30, 2025 • 1:31:39

In Episode 25, True North Episode 25: The team dives into market trends, an MSTR Q1 earnings preview, and insights from the recent Bitcoin for Corporations event hosted by Bitwise. Key discussion points include swan’s getting to werk, mstr tn world, mstr by the numbers, narrative shift, investing strategy. Market context: MSTR closed at $380.11 with mNAV at ~2.13.

Market Snapshot

  • Date: 4/30/25
  • MSTR Open/Close: $373.78 / $380.11
  • Volume: 13,713,700 shares
  • mNAV: ~2.13
  • Market Cap: ~$103.74B
  • U.S. Market Cap Rank: 86
  • BTC Held: 553,555

Chapters

  • 00:00:00Kickoff: Back from Bitwise, upcoming MSTR TN World and Agenda
  • 00:03:30Swan’s getting to Werk: Ben’s new CIO role
  • 00:07:17MSTR TN World: Latest updates from the team
  • 00:14:13MSTR by the Numbers: BTC holdings, leverage ratio and capital position
  • 00:19:30Narrative Shift: From ETF doubts to MSTR dominance and growing moat
  • 00:24:00Investing Strategy: Picking BTC treasury companies
  • 00:27:01MSTR’s Moat: Why competitors can’t catch up
  • 00:30:42Trust and Debt: Why MSTR is built on a network of trust
  • 00:34:40Credit Spreads: Relative risk comparisons for $MSTR vs others
  • 00:42:35Meeting Saylor: Converts, marketing and insights
  • 00:47:52Market Maturity: New derivative products and options
  • 00:53:00Bitcoin Flywheel: Ecosystem growth, financialization and cooperation
  • 01:07:20Corporate BTC: How adoption could spread fast
  • 01:13:06Earnings Preview: Mark-to-market impact and Q1 outlook
  • 01:18:13Future Forecast: MSTR as a top-10 stock if BTC hits $150K
  • 01:22:04S&P 500 Talk: What MSTR inclusion could mean
  • 01:24:00Final Words: Event prep, gratitude, and next steps

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